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发布时间 : 2009/12/8 18:32:55  

加经济专家提出警讯:明年日子不好过


据世界日报讯,距离2010年已不到一个月,对于新的一年大家总会抱着新希望,所谓万象更新,应能对每个人的心情有些振奋作用,但是目前几件引起普遍关注的事情,似乎可用来预卜明年未必好过。

首先是有越来越多经济专家提出警讯,指房贷利率明年必然调涨,而且幅度不会太小,这意味着在低利时贷款购屋民众,要准备承担提高的房贷月付款额度,同时打算购屋者也要面临增加的财务压力;对一般家庭而言,偿还房贷通常是家计中的最大支出,换句话说,大多数家庭明年将背上更重债务。

另一项最近相当热门的话题,是安省预定在明年7月份开始实施HST税制,即是将联邦货服税和安省销售税合并为13%税率,其中影响较深远的是汽油亦成为 HST课税对象,未来附加税势必大增,除了将令民众行的支出上扬,亦会导致很多商品将运输成本转嫁到售价上,加上很多服务性支出譬如律师费、佣金都得加税,虽然省府官员一再重申不致提高一般家庭负担,但该说法很难获得民众信服。

而更雪上加霜的是经济复苏幅度较政府原预估的缓慢甚多,联邦政府在国内经济陷入衰退后,即决定编列赤字预算砸下大笔振兴经济基金,但由于负担甚重,也仅能维持到明年上半年,可惜国内经济陷入泥沼比预期的深,令很多专家担心如果政府一旦停止挹注资金,经济是否又会再陷衰退,最近的一项消费者信心调查,即显示越来越多民众担心明年工作不保。

另一个负面消息是加元升值趋势未见减缓,而在美国市场持续萧条情况下,加拿大出口业益加艰困,在工厂贱卖货品后收到的钱一再缩水,甚至根本接不到订单,裁员及倒闭危机短期内显然不会纾缓,目前国内制造业仍无起色,业主们即使撑过今年,明年未必好过。

不过目前至少有一件事可让民众稍展紧蹙的眉头,就是明年从阿富汗撤军政策应不致改变,加拿大除了不必再损失可贵人命,政府也能省下可观军费,对庞大的预算赤字不无小补。

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